Quakecast: Happy Martin Luther King Jr. Day!

16 January, 2012

Happy Martin Luther King Jr. Day!

Happy Martin Luther King Jr. day to the US. Technically, I am off today but here is a shortened quakecast.

World: 199

Calif: 409

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours:

World Reality

There were two 6's in the same spot over the weekend. However, when I went back on Monday to check only one was there. I think the other was downgraded. I am not sure. Anyway it happened in the South Shetland Islands. This is way near Antartica. The other mystery quake was a 6.6 in the region was a 6.6. This is about 1 000 miles from a previous 5. It could be closer because the quakes location are given as a region. I did not look up the longitude / latitude distance.

I also said to watch these regions:

Peshawar - There was a 5.0 in Chitral, Pakistan this is from Peshawar 127 miles from where I said it would hit. Quakecast correct for time, place and size.
Sinaloa, Mexico - There was a 4.6 in Oaxaca, Mexico this is just out of range of the 850 miles.
Luzon, Philippines - There was a 5.3 in Celebes, Indonesia 1 000 miles away. It looks a lot closer on the USGS map

California Reality

Nice and quiet weekend as quakecasted.

World Forecast

The world number is under 206. This means everyone near a previous 5 must be on alert for a 6+.

California Forecast

Next 24 hours, no quakes bigger than a 3.7.

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About this blog / Disclaimer

This blog follows the predictions of earthquakes in California and around the world from my god-mother, Randi.

Randi has never taken a geology class. She has no formal training. But, everyday for the last six years she has observed earthquakes around the world. She has watched when they happen and where they happen. She believes that there are patterns to when large earthquakes occur. She uses these patterns to predict future quakes.

She uses only one source of information for her predictions: USGS.

Randi makes her predictions based on the data from the USGS website and her insight gained from observing world-wide earthquake activity. As a challenge, she tries to make predictions in 72 hour increments. Just like a weather forecast, she misses many times, as well as gets some earthquake forecasts correct.

Randi's main concern is California. She will discuss earthquake activity on the world level, but she will do her best to narrow down the activity to specific dates for California.

This blog is for fun. It is NOT scientific. Randi does not recommend anyone to take any specific action because of her predictions.

A note from Randi on how she predicts them:

I’ve kept my analysis real simple. Today there are 344 in California/Nevada, a low number but the world number is 270. To me that means California WILL NOT have a large earthquake today. If the number goes below 200 for the world and California/Nevada is less than 500 then I believe the BIG quake will occur there.

Earlier this week, I got nervous because the world number was 218 and California was below 500, but another quake happened elsewhere before the total number went below 200 and the aftershocks raised the total world number to 270. It is fascinating to watch because the big quakes happen when the world goes below 200...