World: 210
Calif: 414
Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: Medium.
World Reality
As quakecasted the world number went up in the previous 24 hours. We are still in the red zone for 6's but the likelihood drops as the world number increases beyond 206. There were many 5's driving up the number.
I thought the 5's would happen in the following areas:
- Luzon, Philippines - There was a 5.0 in Mindanao, Philippines which is 575 miles from Luzon. This quake happened in the 72 hours time frame of the prediction. Quakecast correct for size, place and timing.
- Chile - There was a 5.2 in the ocean off the coast of Chili! It was pretty far out, but still on the same latitude line.
- Kashmir - There was a 5.1 1200 miles away in Iran. This is a miss.
- Sinaloa, Mexico There was a 4.7 in Oaxaca, Mexico 800 miles away. This is within the 850 mile range for world predictions. They are coming up the coast. Watch out California.
California Reality
As quakecasted no 6+. There also were no 4+. Only 2's. I quakecasted no significant activity and was correct. This is important because we can tell when people need to have their guard up.
World Forecast
We are finally getting bigger than the 206. There will be lots more 5's and a possible 6+ if the 5's do not ramp up quickly in the next 48 hours.
Naturally, any area near a 5 is of higher risk for the 6+. Especially look for the chance for the 6's within 250 miles of the 7. I've also highlighted these areas in the next 72 hours to watch:
- Peshawar
- Sinaloa, Mexico
- Luzon, Philippines
California Forecast
I am going to stick with a 24 quakecast for California - No 5+ in the next 24 hours. I also highly doubt there will be a 4+. Lot's more 2's and possible 3's.
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