World:  226

Calif.   385

Earthquakes are getting big.  Last week I knew the quake in Mexico would trigger one in California or Chile. I didn’t record the blog and yesterday a 7.1 hit in Chile.  I am concerned because the quakes are happening with the numbers being above the hypothesis range.  I may need to tweak the numbers. 

I’ll be doing more detailed updates starting tomorrow.  It’s been hectic. 

Haven’t written in a while.  Just too busy but today’s numbers are concerning:

World: 194

Calif.: 342

Plus, there was a 3.6 by Petrolia and a 3.2 75 miles from Baja.  California needs to be on alert for the next 100 hours for a 5+.

World: 215

Calif: 408

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours:

  World Reality 

The world number will drop in the next 24 hours.  There has been no 6+ in the last day.

  California Reality

The Baja and Petrolia quakes did trigger the 4 in San Francisco, like I’ve been warning. Yesterday was a quiet day.

  

  World Forecast

The world number is 215 and will drop. We are back in threat range for the 6+. Watch areas near previous 5’s.  

  California Forecast 

California is in range for the bigger quake of a 5 but the Baja and Petrolia quake happened over a week ago and did spur on the 4+ in CA.  That might have been enough to reduce the stress … for now.  However, with the CA number low and the world number dropping back in low range and the fact that the two twin quakes of Baja and Petrolia happened just last week, means CA is still under threat for the 5+ and maybe a 6 in the next 72 hours.

World: 228

Calif: 404

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours:

  World Reality 

Over the weekend there was an exception to the rule. There was a 6+ and the world number was high. There was also a 6.1 in Argentina today. It is the first time in years that the quakes happened when the world number was high…. I will need to see how often this exception happens.

  

  California Reality

There was a 4.0 outside of San Fran an hour ago. Notice the CA number came down as well as the world number.  We had the 4+ last week in the two critical places, Baja and Petrolia.  I said that will increase  activity in CA and it did.  It took until the CA number dropped below 450 to happen.

  World Forecast

The world number is 228. We will see 5’s and smaller until the number decreases to the 210 range.

  California Forecast 

California is in range for a bigger quake. Please watch for a 5+, this includes the possibility of a 6+ in the next 72 hours. The chances are higher than typical because we’ve had the 4+ in the two key areas, Baja and Petrolia last week.  It  can happen within 250 miles of a previous 3+.

World: 264

Calif: 466

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH

  World Reality 

The hypotheses is working. No big quakes around the world. The number is 264. Lot’s of 5’s but no sixes. 

  California Reality

California is above the 450 range.  There were no 5+ in the entire state.  This supports the hypothesis.    

  

  World Forecast 

The world number is 264. We will see 5’s and smaller until the number decreases to the 210 range.

  California Forecast 

California is above the 450 range.   I do not believe it will be a 6+ because the world number is high. I’ve tested this before and it held. 

Have a nice weekend.

World: 263

Calif: 462

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH

  World Reality

Big news. I couldn’t believe how high the world number is growing. Typically, it is because of a 6+ quake. So, I went back to see if I missed any. On Saturday, a day I do not look at the quakes, there was a 6.7 in Russia. So, I checked to see the world number at the time of the quake. It was 212 or maybe 211. The animation on the USGS website works really fast and its hard to see it at the exact second the quake hits and the world number. I can’t freeze it. But, before the quake the world number was in the 205 – 210 range. Fascinating!!!!!!!!!!!

The hypotheses is working. No big quakes around the world. The number is 263. Lot’s of 5’s but no sixes. 

  California Reality

California is above the 450 range.  There were no 5+ in the entire state.  This supports the hypothesis.    

  World Forecast 

The world number is 263. We will see 5’s and smaller until the number decreases to the 210 range.

  California Forecast 

California is above the 450 range.  With the 4+ quakes happening in both Petrolia and Baja, there may be a 4+ in CA in the next 24 hours.  It  can happen within 250 miles of a previous 3. I do not believe it will be a 6+ because the world number is high. I’ve tested this before and it held.   

World: 255

Calif: 446

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH

  World Reality 

The hypotheses is working. No big quakes around the world. The number is 255. Lot’s of 5’s but no sixes. 

  

  California Reality 

As quakecasted no 5+ in California in the last 24 hours. There was a 4.2 near Baja Mexico. This is a key spot to start a larger quake trend. There was also a 4.3 on Saturday by Petrolia, CA. I’ve talked of this before – how these two quakes occur near each other and then larger quakes may happen in CA. 

  World Forecast 

The world number is 255. We will see 5’s and smaller until the number decreases to the 210 range.

  California Forecast 

California is in the 450 range.  With the 4+ quakes happening in both Petrolia and Baja, there may be a 4+ in CA in the next 48 hours.  Since, I’ve been testing the CA number it may be a 5+. I am not sure if CA’s number is 425 or 450 as the upper limit for larger quakes.  We are right on the line. So, a 5+ quake can happen within 250 miles of a previous 3. I do not believe it will be a 6+ because the world number is high. I’ve tested this before and it held.