Quakecast

07 March, 2012

World: 215

Calif: 408

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours:

World Reality

The world number will drop in the next 24 hours. There has been no 6+ in the last day.

California Reality

The Baja and Petrolia quakes did trigger the 4 in San Francisco, like I’ve been warning. Yesterday was a quiet day.

World Forecast

The world number is 215 and will drop. We are back in threat range for the 6+. Watch areas near previous 5’s.

California Forecast

California is in range for the bigger quake of a 5 but the Baja and Petrolia quake happened over a week ago and did spur on the 4+ in CA. That might have been enough to reduce the stress … for now. However, with the CA number low and the world number dropping back in low range and the fact that the two twin quakes of Baja and Petrolia happened just last week, means CA is still under threat for the 5+ and maybe a 6 in the next 72 hours.

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About this blog / Disclaimer

This blog follows the predictions of earthquakes in California and around the world from my god-mother, Randi.

Randi has never taken a geology class. She has no formal training. But, everyday for the last six years she has observed earthquakes around the world. She has watched when they happen and where they happen. She believes that there are patterns to when large earthquakes occur. She uses these patterns to predict future quakes.

She uses only one source of information for her predictions: USGS.

Randi makes her predictions based on the data from the USGS website and her insight gained from observing world-wide earthquake activity. As a challenge, she tries to make predictions in 72 hour increments. Just like a weather forecast, she misses many times, as well as gets some earthquake forecasts correct.

Randi's main concern is California. She will discuss earthquake activity on the world level, but she will do her best to narrow down the activity to specific dates for California.

This blog is for fun. It is NOT scientific. Randi does not recommend anyone to take any specific action because of her predictions.

A note from Randi on how she predicts them:

I’ve kept my analysis real simple. Today there are 344 in California/Nevada, a low number but the world number is 270. To me that means California WILL NOT have a large earthquake today. If the number goes below 200 for the world and California/Nevada is less than 500 then I believe the BIG quake will occur there.

Earlier this week, I got nervous because the world number was 218 and California was below 500, but another quake happened elsewhere before the total number went below 200 and the aftershocks raised the total world number to 270. It is fascinating to watch because the big quakes happen when the world goes below 200...