Quakecast

01 March, 2012

World: 263

Calif: 462

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH

World Reality

Big news. I couldn’t believe how high the world number is growing. Typically, it is because of a 6+ quake. So, I went back to see if I missed any. On Saturday, a day I do not look at the quakes, there was a 6.7 in Russia. So, I checked to see the world number at the time of the quake. It was 212 or maybe 211. The animation on the USGS website works really fast and its hard to see it at the exact second the quake hits and the world number. I can’t freeze it. But, before the quake the world number was in the 205 – 210 range. Fascinating!!!!!!!!!!!

The hypotheses is working. No big quakes around the world. The number is 263. Lot’s of 5’s but no sixes.

California Reality

California is above the 450 range. There were no 5+ in the entire state. This supports the hypothesis.

World Forecast

The world number is 263. We will see 5’s and smaller until the number decreases to the 210 range.

California Forecast

California is above the 450 range. With the 4+ quakes happening in both Petrolia and Baja, there may be a 4+ in CA in the next 24 hours. It can happen within 250 miles of a previous 3. I do not believe it will be a 6+ because the world number is high. I’ve tested this before and it held.

No comments:

Post a Comment

About this blog / Disclaimer

This blog follows the predictions of earthquakes in California and around the world from my god-mother, Randi.

Randi has never taken a geology class. She has no formal training. But, everyday for the last six years she has observed earthquakes around the world. She has watched when they happen and where they happen. She believes that there are patterns to when large earthquakes occur. She uses these patterns to predict future quakes.

She uses only one source of information for her predictions: USGS.

Randi makes her predictions based on the data from the USGS website and her insight gained from observing world-wide earthquake activity. As a challenge, she tries to make predictions in 72 hour increments. Just like a weather forecast, she misses many times, as well as gets some earthquake forecasts correct.

Randi's main concern is California. She will discuss earthquake activity on the world level, but she will do her best to narrow down the activity to specific dates for California.

This blog is for fun. It is NOT scientific. Randi does not recommend anyone to take any specific action because of her predictions.

A note from Randi on how she predicts them:

I’ve kept my analysis real simple. Today there are 344 in California/Nevada, a low number but the world number is 270. To me that means California WILL NOT have a large earthquake today. If the number goes below 200 for the world and California/Nevada is less than 500 then I believe the BIG quake will occur there.

Earlier this week, I got nervous because the world number was 218 and California was below 500, but another quake happened elsewhere before the total number went below 200 and the aftershocks raised the total world number to 270. It is fascinating to watch because the big quakes happen when the world goes below 200...