Note from David: I am sorry this is so late, the past few days have been so hectic that I missed the email. Sorry! Original date: 17 January, 2012.

World: 196

Calif: 414

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours:

  World Reality

There was a 5.7 in Samar, Philippines. This is 410 miles from Luzon, Philippines. Where I've been saying to watch out! This is significant because the quakes seem to move slower than I thought. They tend to go on a line and hit points in-between. Like yesterday, the 5+ quake was in Celebes, Indonesia which is over 1000 miles from Luzon. I just needed to be more patient with the time and quakecast a little closer to where the first quake hit. This means that whenever a 5+ hits areas within a 1000 miles need to be aware the quakes can move in their direction.

  California Reality

Well it was nice and quiet but a 4.3 hit 31 miles from Petrolia, California. For those of you reading the blog you know that is a precursor to more and larger activity in California. The rest of the state was calm just as quakecasted.

  World Forecast

The world number is under 206. This means everyone near a previous 5 must be on alert for a 6+. I'd especially watch these areas:

• MYANMAR region by India
• Puerto Aisen, South America

  California Forecast

The 4+ has arrived in Petrolia, California. This will spread larger quakes. Sometimes it is a precursor to a 7 in the same area. I am not sure of timing. It can take days if not weeks. This is very tricky because the CA number is inching up over 400 but not much. Typically, there is a 5+ quake maybe even a 6+ that drives the number into the 500's and happens when the CA is low. Just like it is now. The timing in right. Watch the Maacama fault zone.