World: 198

Calif: 439 

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH

  World Reality

World number dropped below 200. So far no 6 quake.

  California Reality 

California experienced a lot more shaking of the smaller quakes. The number grow significantly yesterday.  I quakecasted that we’d need to see lots of smaller quakes to avoid a bigger one and so far it is working. However, the numbers are still in range for a larger quake.  

  World Forecast

The world number is 198. Expect a 6+ in areas near a previous 5+ unless smaller shakes bring the world number above 210. The chance of a 6 this weekend is high.

I am still concerned about Mexico for the larger quake this weekend. I’d put the country on orange alert until the world number goes above 215.

  California Forecast

California is inching back up to 450 territory. If this continues we will avoid the larger quake. However, right now the world number is under 200 and California is still under 450. The magic CA number may be 400, and California is in the clear to avoid the larger quakes, but I am still testing the range. Therefore, areas near previous 3’s need to be on alert for a 5+. It may even be a 6+ if we see a 3+ in northern Mexico.