Quakecast

24 January, 2012

Big news: Quakecast is trademarked. I've been away awhile but I am back quakecasting. It is a new term!

World: 166

Calif: 378

Predictor Performance in last 24 hours:

World Reality

I've been gone for a while but the hypothesis still holds. The world number is lower than 206 and there was a 6.3 in Figi. This quake was within the 850 miles of a previous 5 quake earlier in the week. I am graphing the quakes to support the data.

California Reality

California has been hit with 4's in both critical areas - Petrolia and Baja! We are seeing increased activity in terms of size. There was a 3.8 in Clearlake Oaks, CA.

World Forecast

The world number dropped again. There will be a 6+ in the next 72 hours. I also think it can be as high as a 7+. Again, any area with a 5+ in the last week needs to be on alert if it is within 850 miles of the 5+ quake.

I'd watch these areas for the bigger quake:

Santa Rossalia, Mexico or Peru. I am not sure it will move north or south
I've been gone too long to figure out area's near Asia, Australia

California Forecast

In the next 24 hours watch for a possible 4 in Riverside. Otherwise 2's and 3's.

1 comment:

Jac26 January, 2012 10:59
Congrats on the Trademarking of Quakecast!
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About this blog / Disclaimer

This blog follows the predictions of earthquakes in California and around the world from my god-mother, Randi.

Randi has never taken a geology class. She has no formal training. But, everyday for the last six years she has observed earthquakes around the world. She has watched when they happen and where they happen. She believes that there are patterns to when large earthquakes occur. She uses these patterns to predict future quakes.

She uses only one source of information for her predictions: USGS.

Randi makes her predictions based on the data from the USGS website and her insight gained from observing world-wide earthquake activity. As a challenge, she tries to make predictions in 72 hour increments. Just like a weather forecast, she misses many times, as well as gets some earthquake forecasts correct.

Randi's main concern is California. She will discuss earthquake activity on the world level, but she will do her best to narrow down the activity to specific dates for California.

This blog is for fun. It is NOT scientific. Randi does not recommend anyone to take any specific action because of her predictions.

A note from Randi on how she predicts them:

I’ve kept my analysis real simple. Today there are 344 in California/Nevada, a low number but the world number is 270. To me that means California WILL NOT have a large earthquake today. If the number goes below 200 for the world and California/Nevada is less than 500 then I believe the BIG quake will occur there.

Earlier this week, I got nervous because the world number was 218 and California was below 500, but another quake happened elsewhere before the total number went below 200 and the aftershocks raised the total world number to 270. It is fascinating to watch because the big quakes happen when the world goes below 200...