19 December, 2011


World: 181
Calif: 362
Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: Medium

  World Reality
No 6's over the weekend. Very interesting because the world number is still low. There was an outbreak of aftershocks so the pressure must have dissipated enough. I said the aftershocks would be strongest by Boliva, South America. There was a 4.7 in San Antonio de los Cobres, Salta, Arg. which is 574 miles away. The other aftershock in south America was in LIMA, Peru with a 4.8. I said there would be 4's and 5's and it stayed in the 4 range. Other areas of concern are area around Hualien, Taiwan. There was a 5.7 in Palopo, Indonesia. This is 1,000 miles from Taiwan. So, I sort of got the region but it is really far away. I think the important point here is to know when the big quake is not coming. I knew it would not be a 7+. Also, I mentioned watching the quakes move up north up  Mexico to California. There was a 4.5 in Chiapas, Mexico over the weekend.

  California Reality
I've been talking about the 3's coming to California and maybe even a 4. They are here! There was a 3.2 in Pinnacles, CA which is 274 miles from Riverside California. I knew they'd get hit over the weekend. I thought maybe even a 4. I knew it wouldn't be bigger than a 4. So this is correct for time, place and size. There was also a 3.1 in the Geyers, CA. These are the first threes in weeks. This is significant.

  World Forecast
There will be a 6+ if the aftershocks do not get the world number up to 200. At this rate, I see a lot of aftershocks so we may hit 200 without the 6. However, the world number is low and the chance is still higher than if the world number was over 250. Watch areas within an 850 miles of a previous 5 for the 6 quake.

  California Forecast
Watch northern California for another 3+. In the next 24 hours there will not be a quake greater than a 3.9. Lot's more 2's in the next 24 hours.

Sorry for the lateness, I had no interent for the past three days.

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