28 February, 2012


World: 240
Calif: 434
Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH, it is amazing because I can quakecast when the big ones will hit and when they won’t. The hypothesis is working for both the world and CA!!!!!!!!!

No big quakes yesterday and the number were higher than 200 and 400.  Actually, the world number is pretty high.  We haven’t had a 6 since Feb. 14th. Typically there is a 6 at least once a week, even twice. So, while the world number indicates there should be no 6+ in the next day, I wonder if the hypothesis needs to include a a factor for days between 6+. We will see.

  World Reality 
The hypotheses is working. We have enough smaller shakes to offset the large quake and the magic number seems to be holding at around 211.

  California Reality 
California is going crazy with lots of smaller shakes.  I am not sure if the key number for CA is 450 so there may be a 4+ but with the world number at 240, I do not think even a 5+ will hit CA in the next 24 hours.

  World Forecast 
The world number is 240. We will see 5 and smaller until the number decreases to the 210 range.

  California Forecast 
California is in the 430 – 450 range.   I am thinking the the magic CA number may be 425  which would put California  in the clear to avoid the larger quakes. I am still testing the range. Next 24 hours no large quake in the 6+ range. 

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