Quakecast

11 November, 2011

World: 261
Calif: 379
Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: HIGH

World Reality
Prediction correct. The world number will continues to be well above
220. But the bigger news is there was a 5.2 earthquake in Chile as
predicted. Forecast for Timing, location and size: all correct!

California Reality
In the first 24 hours there was not a 4+ by the midline. I've predicted
it would happen in 72 hours. We will see if it happens this weekend.

World Forecast
There will be another 5+ going north of Chile and Baja, Mexico in the
next 72 hours.
Going out on a bigger limb, there will be a 5+ in either India or Saudi
Arabia in the 72 hours. If that doesn't happen then there will be a 6+
in Asia or Australia.

California Forecast
In the next 48 hours there will be a 4+ on the midline. It might not be
in California, it may be east.
There will be a 3+ in Southern California in the next 48 hours.

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About this blog / Disclaimer

This blog follows the predictions of earthquakes in California and around the world from my god-mother, Randi.

Randi has never taken a geology class. She has no formal training. But, everyday for the last six years she has observed earthquakes around the world. She has watched when they happen and where they happen. She believes that there are patterns to when large earthquakes occur. She uses these patterns to predict future quakes.

She uses only one source of information for her predictions: USGS.

Randi makes her predictions based on the data from the USGS website and her insight gained from observing world-wide earthquake activity. As a challenge, she tries to make predictions in 72 hour increments. Just like a weather forecast, she misses many times, as well as gets some earthquake forecasts correct.

Randi's main concern is California. She will discuss earthquake activity on the world level, but she will do her best to narrow down the activity to specific dates for California.

This blog is for fun. It is NOT scientific. Randi does not recommend anyone to take any specific action because of her predictions.

A note from Randi on how she predicts them:

I’ve kept my analysis real simple. Today there are 344 in California/Nevada, a low number but the world number is 270. To me that means California WILL NOT have a large earthquake today. If the number goes below 200 for the world and California/Nevada is less than 500 then I believe the BIG quake will occur there.

Earlier this week, I got nervous because the world number was 218 and California was below 500, but another quake happened elsewhere before the total number went below 200 and the aftershocks raised the total world number to 270. It is fascinating to watch because the big quakes happen when the world goes below 200...