17 November, 2011


World: 249
Calif: 379
Predictor Performance in last 24 hours: Medium

  World Reality
There was not a 4+ between Kuwait and Peshawar, because the activity is
still occurring in Turkey. There were two 4.5+ earthquakes there,
instead. I will be watching for trends moving east.

  California Reality
Forecast correct. There was a 3.0 in Tres Pinos, California. There was a
3.4 in Carago.
 Forecast correct. California number increased from small 2+ earthquakes
in southern region. This is significant because I knew the big one was
not happening in that time frame

  World Forecast
In the next 72 hours, there will a break out of aftershocks in south
America. There is also an increased risk of a 6+ along the coast of
Mexico, if the outbreak of aftershocks does not occur. Most vulnerable
area is Baja, California. Based on the world number at 249, the chance
of a 7+ is low for Mexico in the next 72 hours.

  California Forecast
There will be a 3+ in northern California in the next 72 hours east of
Point Arena.

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