Quakecast

27 September, 2011

World: 155
Calif: 414

Aftershocks are finally occurring from the series of 5's last week by
Australia. This is helping keep the World number steady. It is still low
and therefore I'd be concern about some of these 5's being a prequake.
Note - Crete just had a 5 an hour ago. But no 6+'s. Hopefully, we just
get a lot more 5's. If we don't we will see a 7+ within 48 hours.

California is getting a little more active. Lots of little shaking is
better than no shaking. So, the increase in 3's is a good thing.
Ideally, California will get over 500. If not, I believe it is more
vulnerable than usual. Again, watch for the 5's.

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About this blog / Disclaimer

This blog follows the predictions of earthquakes in California and around the world from my god-mother, Randi.

Randi has never taken a geology class. She has no formal training. But, everyday for the last six years she has observed earthquakes around the world. She has watched when they happen and where they happen. She believes that there are patterns to when large earthquakes occur. She uses these patterns to predict future quakes.

She uses only one source of information for her predictions: USGS.

Randi makes her predictions based on the data from the USGS website and her insight gained from observing world-wide earthquake activity. As a challenge, she tries to make predictions in 72 hour increments. Just like a weather forecast, she misses many times, as well as gets some earthquake forecasts correct.

Randi's main concern is California. She will discuss earthquake activity on the world level, but she will do her best to narrow down the activity to specific dates for California.

This blog is for fun. It is NOT scientific. Randi does not recommend anyone to take any specific action because of her predictions.

A note from Randi on how she predicts them:

I’ve kept my analysis real simple. Today there are 344 in California/Nevada, a low number but the world number is 270. To me that means California WILL NOT have a large earthquake today. If the number goes below 200 for the world and California/Nevada is less than 500 then I believe the BIG quake will occur there.

Earlier this week, I got nervous because the world number was 218 and California was below 500, but another quake happened elsewhere before the total number went below 200 and the aftershocks raised the total world number to 270. It is fascinating to watch because the big quakes happen when the world goes below 200...